Fathership

中美关系的红线在哪里,新加坡表态不站队,菲律宾摇摆不定

那么中美一旦翻脸发生冲突,世界会不会站队呢

|1 min read
中美关系的红线在哪里,新加坡表态不站队,菲律宾摇摆不定
<p>中美关系的红线究竟在哪里,美国《财富》杂志认为,台海问题就是中美关系的红线中最红的一条。中美之间确实缺乏战略互信,可能导致两国在台海问题上发生军事冲突。</p> <p>美国媒体还表示,一个最新的迹象就是,在美国不断打台湾牌的情况下,中国采取了激烈的反击,即在外交上警告“美国不能从实力的地位与中国对话”,也在军事上环岛军演,捍卫国家利益的行动越来越有力。</p> <p>那么中美一旦翻脸发生冲突,世界会不会站队呢,美国彭博社认为,亚洲国家尤其是一些既亲美又亲华的国家,没有一个愿意选边站。因为他们知道“大象打架,蚂蚁遭殃”的后果。</p> <p>因此这些国家都在极力劝和中美,让中美合作不要走向对抗。例如菲律宾总统马科斯在联大一般性辩论会上说,菲律宾坚持一个中国原则,主张和平解决台海问题。</p> <p>其言外之意就是希望中美不要在台海大打出手,影响菲律宾的利益。俄外长也痛批美国在台湾问题上“玩火”。显然,站在第三国的角度看,中美一旦起冲突,将给世界带来毁灭性的灾难。</p> <p><img src="“https://i.imgur.com/wT8XJXz.png“alt=““/"></p> <p>新加坡总理李显龙在最近的讲话中表示,中国是惹不得的,一旦爆发冲突那就是地动山摇,甚至可能是灭顶之灾。</p> <p>首先,李显龙认为,中国已成为世界工厂,全球基本上都在使用中国产品,一旦脱离中国商品,那么各国人的生活必然会脱节,甚至倒退到“工业化之前的时代”都有可能。对于新加坡来说,李显龙表示只能希望中美双方能理智处理,双方一旦出现闪失、误判和意外,事态将有螺旋式升级的可能。</p> <p>而像菲律宾、俄罗斯还需要中国14亿人的庞大市场消化他们的香蕉、菠萝、石油、天然气等产品,中国不买这些东西,菲律宾和俄罗斯经济就会停滞发展,人民就富不了。</p> <p><img src="“https://i.imgur.com/Hc47PFa.png“alt=““/"></p> <p>其次,中国军力今非昔比,2022年全球火力榜显示,在140个国家中,美国军力第一,俄罗斯第二,中国第三。但是,中国海军实力增长速度第一名,尤其是近年来,军舰、航母建造的速度令人惊讶,给美国海军造成了巨大压力。</p> <p>第三,中国很自信,不怕与美国翻脸。以前中国在台海问题上比较被动,对于美国对台出售军火、对台进行政治访问基本上都停留在口头警告层面,但现在随着中国经济军事能力增长,尤其是斗争思路上出现巨大转变,中国不仅开始实施环岛军演,还对美国政客和军火集团实施精准制裁,这是前所未有的行动。此举表明了中国越来越自信,越来越不怕与美国翻脸。</p> <p><img src="“https://i.imgur.com/v21UFdD.png“alt=““/"></p> <p>因此,中美一旦因为台海问题发生冲突,对于菲律宾和新加坡这种小国家而言,站不站队其实已经无所谓,除了中美以及关系密切的盟友国家,其他第三方国家都只能充当看客。所以,小国的生存之道关键不是要等事情发生之后怎么应对,而是应该在此之前,就想好后果,并提前作出选择。</p> <p>目前看来,菲律宾内部的一些亲美势力在蠢蠢欲动,而新加坡则显得理智得多。两个典型的东南亚国家,将会因为自己不同的选择,而走上两条截然不同的发展道路。从客观角度来说,更看好理性和中立态度的新加坡。</p>
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GE2025 - Here are the key points from PAP manifesto

PAP manifesto focuses on economic growth, education, social support, healthcare, housing, sustainability, arts, and social cohesion, with detailed initiatives in each area.

|8 min read
GE2025 - Here are the key points from PAP manifesto

The People's Action Party (PAP) launched their manifesto last Thursday (Apr 17), titled "Changed World, Fresh Team, New Resolve – Securing a Brighter Future for You."

Manifesto focuses on economic growth, education, social support, healthcare, housing, sustainability, arts, and social cohesion, with detailed initiatives in each area.

Here are the key points:

Economic Growth and Business Competitiveness

The PAP, as the ruling party, launched its manifesto on April 17, 2025, titled "Our Manifesto, Our Promise," at Infinite Studios. Prime Minister Lawrence Wong emphasized navigating global changes and defending Singapore's interests. Key proposals include:

  • Enhancing support for Professionals, Managers, Executives, and Technicians (PMETs) to thrive in a dynamic economy.
  • Nurturing Singaporean corporate leaders to drive local and global success, ensuring leadership in key industries.
  • Strengthening fair employment practices through legislation like the Workplace Fairness Act to protect workers' rights.
  • Maintaining Singapore's reputation as a reliable business hub, crucial for attracting foreign investment.
  • Investing in transport and digital infrastructure to enhance connectivity and efficiency, supporting business operations.
  • Adopting cutting-edge technologies, including Artificial Intelligence (AI), to boost productivity and innovation.
  • Securing clean energy sources, with exploration of nuclear power, to ensure sustainable economic growth.
  • Easing cost-of-living pressures through tax rebates and the Progressive Wage Credit Scheme, directly benefiting lower-income workers.
  • Enabling businesses to upgrade productivity through technological and operational advancements.
  • Facilitating access to manpower and capital for businesses to scale and innovate.
  • Supporting companies in expanding into new markets, enhancing Singapore's global economic footprint.

Education and Skills Development

Education is framed as a cornerstone for future success, with a focus on inclusivity and lifelong learning:

  • Redefining success to value diverse talents, moving beyond traditional academic metrics to recognize varied abilities.
  • Customizing education to cater to diverse abilities and interests, ensuring no student is left behind.
  • Investing in teachers' professional development to maintain high educational standards and adapt to new teaching methods.
  • Partnering with parents, industry, and communities to deliver holistic education, fostering well-rounded development.
  • Building four new Special Education (SPED) schools by 2030 to support students with special needs.
  • Establishing additional early intervention centers to identify and support developmental needs early.
  • Extending the Development Support-Learning Support Programme to more preschools, enhancing early childhood education.
  • Empowering Singaporeans to reskill and upskill through accessible programs, preparing them for future job markets.
  • Supporting companies in redesigning jobs and investing in worker training, aligning education with industry needs.
  • Introducing the SkillsFuture Jobseeker Support Scheme to aid job seekers, particularly during economic transitions.

This pillar aims to build a flexible and inclusive education system, though challenges may arise in scaling these initiatives effectively.

Social Support and Inclusion

Social support is a critical focus, aiming to uplift vulnerable groups and ensure inclusivity:

  • Strengthening ComCare and Silver Support schemes to provide financial assistance to low-income and elderly citizens.
  • Enhancing Workfare to support lower-wage workers, ensuring they benefit from economic growth.
  • Extending Progressive Wages to more sectors, aiming to raise wages for lower-income workers systematically.
  • Providing individualized support for lower-income families via ComLink+, tailoring assistance to specific needs.
  • Increasing childcare subsidies for disadvantaged families to ensure regular preschool attendance, promoting early education.
  • Strengthening post-18 transitions for young adults, supporting their entry into the workforce or further education.
  • Boosting employment opportunities for Persons with Disabilities (PwDs) through targeted initiatives, promoting inclusivity.
  • Increasing subsidies for adult disability services to improve accessibility and quality of care.
  • Piloting community living models for independent living, empowering PwDs to live autonomously.

These measures aim to create a more inclusive society, though their impact may vary based on funding and community uptake.

Healthcare and Well-Being

Healthcare initiatives are designed to cover the entire lifespan, ensuring comprehensive care:

  • Launching Grow Well SG for children and adolescents, focusing on early health and development.
  • Implementing Healthier SG for adults, promoting preventive care and healthy lifestyles.
  • Introducing Age Well SG for seniors, ensuring dignified aging with adequate support.
  • Innovating healthcare delivery through the Queenstown Health District, serving as a model for integrated care.
  • Adding 13,600 new hospital beds over five years to meet growing healthcare demands.
  • Redeveloping Alexandra Hospital to enhance facilities and services.
  • Opening Eastern General Hospital by 2030, expanding healthcare capacity in the east.
  • Growing the healthcare and nursing workforce to address staffing shortages and improve care quality.
  • Establishing a National Mental Health Office to coordinate efforts and expand access to mental health services.
  • Expanding access to mental health services across communities, addressing a critical public health need.

These initiatives aim to build a robust healthcare system, though challenges may include workforce retention and funding sustainability.

Housing and Urban Development

Housing remains a priority, addressing both supply and quality of living:

  • Building over 50,000 new HDB flats in three years, equivalent to an entire Ang Mo Kio town, to meet housing demand.
  • Increasing Shorter Waiting Time flats to reduce waiting periods for new homes.
  • Exploring public housing options for higher-income couples and singles, expanding access to HDB housing.
  • Ensuring a stable and sustainable property market through decisive measures, balancing supply and demand.
  • Rejuvenating HDB towns through the Voluntary Early Redevelopment Scheme (VERS), with examples like Mount Pleasant, Kallang-Whampoa ("white flats"), and Bayshore (waterfront living at East Coast Park).

These efforts aim to ensure affordable and quality housing, though market dynamics may pose implementation challenges.

Sustainability and Green Spaces

Sustainability is a key focus, balancing urban development with environmental care:

  • Creating 25 new parks to enhance green spaces for recreation and biodiversity.
  • Developing 50km of park connectors to improve connectivity for pedestrians and cyclists.
  • Establishing 13 therapeutic gardens to support mental and physical well-being.
  • Developing a second marine park at Lazarus South and Kusu Reef, protecting marine ecosystems.
  • Building new MRT lines, including Jurong Regional and Cross-Island Lines, to enhance public transport.
  • Extending existing MRT lines and enhancing bus services to improve accessibility and reduce car dependency.

These initiatives aim to create a sustainable urban environment, though their success may depend on community engagement and funding.

Arts, Culture, and Sports

Arts and culture are highlighted as vital for quality of life and national identity:

  • Expanding the SG Culture Pass to provide broader access to cultural experiences, promoting arts appreciation.
  • Promoting early arts exposure in schools and preschools, fostering creativity from a young age.
  • Offering more arts apprenticeships and scholarships to support emerging artists.
  • Providing additional arts spaces and support for artists, enhancing the cultural ecosystem.
  • Establishing a new Museum of Design to showcase creativity and innovation.
  • Developing Kallang Alive, including a new indoor arena and home for Team Singapore, boosting sports infrastructure.
  • Building new sports facilities in Clementi, Punggol, and Toa Payoh, and upgrading existing ones in Hougang, Pasir Ris, and Queenstown.

These efforts aim to enrich cultural and sporting life, though their impact may vary based on public participation.

Social Cohesion and Civic Engagement

Social cohesion is framed as essential for national unity and resilience:

  • Fostering a strong Singaporean identity rooted in shared values and experiences.
  • Upholding multi-racial and multi-religious values, ensuring harmony and inclusivity.
  • Enhancing integration efforts to build a cohesive society, particularly for new citizens.
  • Maintaining Singapore as an oasis of peace, emphasizing stability in a turbulent world.
  • Nurturing a culture of giving by connecting donors and volunteers with those in need, promoting community support.
  • Increasing avenues for civic participation, empowering citizens to contribute to nation-building.
  • Strengthening partnerships between the government and the people, fostering collaborative governance.

These measures aim to build a united and engaged society, though their effectiveness may depend on community buy-in.

Summary Table

PillarKey InitiativeTarget Beneficiaries
Economic GrowthAdopt AI and clean energyBusinesses, PMETs
EducationBuild 4 new SPED schools by 2030Students with special needs
Social SupportExtend Progressive Wages to more sectorsLower-wage workers
HealthcareAdd 13,600 new hospital beds in 5 yearsGeneral population
HousingBuild 50,000 new HDB flats in 3 yearsHome seekers
SustainabilityCreate 25 new parksResidents, environmentalists
Arts and CultureExpand SG Culture PassArts enthusiasts
Social CohesionEnhance integration effortsNew citizens, diverse groups
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Jalan Kayu单选区 - 两块“木头”间的艰难抉择

黄志明与卡拉·马尼卡姆的对决揭示信任与分裂的较量

|1 min read
Jalan Kayu单选区 - 两块“木头”间的艰难抉择

2025年5月3日,Jalan Kayu单选区(Jalan Kayu SMC)的29,565名选民将站在十字路口,选择两条崎岖路径之一:人民行动党(PAP)职总秘书长黄志明,背负2024年职总英康收购案的污点,宛如一辆伤痕累累的战车;抑或红点团结党(RDU)的激进教育家卡拉·马尼卡姆,其2021年前进党诉讼风波暴露的个人主义倾向,恰似一艘独木舟在政治风浪中摇摆 [译注:2025年4月22日,红点团结党宣布退出Jalan Kayu单选区,支持工人党参选,以避免多角竞争。本文基于此前候选人假设撰写]。

候选人背景

黄志明(56岁)

黄志明曾于2009至2013年担任新加坡空军总长,2013至2015年升任三军总长,展现军事生涯的严谨与权威。2015年,他代表人民行动党当选巴西立-榜鹅集选区国会议员,但在2020年竞逐盛港集选区时,以47.88%的得票率铩羽而归。自2018年起,他担任职总秘书长,力推劳动力发展和工人权益政策,试图为职场注入活力。然而,2024年职总英康收购案令其公信力蒙尘,被舆论抨击“要么纵容利益输送,要么严重失职”,如同一座信任堡垒被风暴侵蚀。

卡拉·马尼卡姆(57岁)

卡拉·马尼卡姆是单亲母亲、特殊教育专家兼中小企业主,拥有终身教育硕士学位,散发草根魅力。她是新加坡武装部队首批女军官之一,服役七年,官至中尉,彰显坚韧。2020年,她代表前进党竞选义顺集选区,获38.76%选票;同年12月被开除,2021年提起“不当终止党籍”诉讼,后和解。此事暴露其“独行侠”作风。如今,她加入红点团结党,聚焦职业培训和生活成本压力,试图以小党之力撬动选民心弦。

黄志明的职总英康风波

2024年7月,职总与德国保险巨头英杰华(Allianz)提出22亿新元的收购案,宣称将增强职总英康的竞争力。8月,黄志明与职总主席达纳拉克希米发表联合声明,信誓旦旦保证英杰华将维护英康的社会使命。然而,细节如暗礁般浮现,险些葬送交易。英杰华计划提取18.5亿新元资本,近半投资可迅速回笼,恐耗尽维持低保费的储备金,宛如从社会保障的根基抽梁换柱。2024年10月14日,文化、社区及青年部长唐振辉代表政府果断叫停交易,认定其背离英康2022年公司化目标,即强化财务实力以惠及保单持有人。

黄志明坚称职总中央委员会对资本提取计划毫不知情,试图撇清责任,但前英康首席执行官陈瑞财痛斥该计划“违背诚信”,直指交易暗藏私利。新加坡管理大学副教授陈庆文直言,这种无知“令人瞠目结舌” [译注:意指难以置信的疏忽],如同指挥官在战场上迷失方向。2025年1月,黄志明将就业不稳定性归咎于人工智能,回避外籍劳工政策争议,被批“高高在上”,如同一座与民意脱节的孤塔。2020年盛港集选区失利已暴露其政治软肋,选民不禁质疑:他究竟是工人代言人,还是行动党机器的忠实齿轮?

卡拉的前进党诉讼争议

2021年7月,卡拉向高等法院起诉前进党,后移交国家法院,掀起政治风波。她要求宣告2020年12月开除决定“违法无效”,并追讨1万新元竞选开支,指控前进党违宪,未给予她申辩机会。前进党提交七份宣誓书,包括党魁陈清木的证词,指控她破坏团队凝聚力、抗命不遵。同区候选人郑德源透露,她跳过团队会议、擅自组织走访,形同独奏而非合唱。17人联署反对其复职,干部以55:11的投票支持开除决定。

陈清木回忆,2020年11月会议上,卡拉“挑衅好斗”,高喊“证据呢?证据呢?”,如同一头不甘受缚的猛兽。她通过脸书和法庭公开控诉,展现原则性,却也暴露分裂倾向,宛如在政治舞台上独舞。转投红点团结党被批“机会主义”,如同一名独行侠在寻找新战场。诉讼虽和解,但卡拉的个人主义标签挥之不去,恐难适应新加坡强调协作的政治生态。

选情分析

黄志明依托行动党强大的基层网络,Jalan Kayu单选区与宏茂桥集选区的历史渊源为其加分。然而,英康风波重创公信力,盛港失利阴影犹存,选民质疑其是否真为工人发声。卡拉的草根形象贴近民心,反对党协调机制或助其整合选票,但诉讼风波暴露团队协作缺陷,红点团结党知名度有限,难以撼动主流。工人党未派候选人,人民力量党若参选可能分散反对派选票,但红点团结党与其他小党的协调或可缓解分裂风险。这场选举无关谁是耀眼的明星,而是两块“卡由”(马来语“木头”谐音,喻指不完美的候选人)中,谁能更稳固地承载选民的期望。

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China, Israel's foreign agents may conduct disinformation campaigns for S'pore's GE2025

China aims to dominate ASEAN by leveraging Singapore’s diplomatic influence and cultural ties, while Israel seeks to preserve its strategic alliance with Singapore - one of very few countries still allied with Israel in ASEAN.

|6 min read
China, Israel's foreign agents may conduct disinformation campaigns for S'pore's GE2025

Disclaimer: This analysis is a speculative exploration based on geopolitical trends, historical patterns, and open-source intelligence.


Foreign interference isn’t a conspiracy theory; it’s a global reality, from Russia’s 2016 U.S. election hacks to China’s whispered influence in Australia.

Singapore, a tiny island with outsized influence, is a high-value target. Its role as a global financial hub, with approximately S$5.4 trillion in assets under management makes its electoral outcome a matter of international consequence.

China

China, Singapore’s largest trading partner with S$150 billion in bilateral trade in 2022, has strong incentives to influence GE2025.

As ASEAN’s diplomatic anchor, Singapore influences regional policies critical to China’s Belt and Road Initiative and South China Sea claims.

A government aligned with Beijing would enhance its dominance in Southeast Asia, where Singapore’s neutrality is a linchpin.

Moreover, Singapore’s military training partnerships with Taiwan make it a target for China’s efforts to suppress Taiwanese independence narratives.

Past disinformation campaigns

China has a well-documented history of disinformation:

  • Taiwan: Beijing has used deepfakes and propaganda to discredit Taiwanese leaders and deter voters from supporting independence, targeting Chinese-speaking communities to sow division, as reported by regional security experts.

  • Philippines: China has promoted narratives portraying itself as a constructive regional actor while casting doubt on U.S. reliability, aiming to weaken U.S.-Philippine ties, per the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

  • Singapore (2017): A notable incident involved Huang Jing, a U.S. citizen and academic at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, who was expelled in August 2017 for acting as an agent of influence for a foreign country, widely understood to be China. Huang used his position to share privileged information with foreign intelligence operatives and attempted to influence Singapore’s foreign policy, per MHA.

Potential impact in Singapore

Singapore’s 74% ethnic Chinese population and economic ties with China create vulnerabilities to disinformation.

AI-generated deepfakes on platforms like Meta and Tiktok could depict candidates disparaging Chinese culture, alienating voters.

Cyber operations might target journalists of alternative and mainstream media outlets, while covert funding through Chinese business networks or clan associations could support pro-China candidates.

The October 2024 deepfake video targeting former President Halimah Yacob, falsely showing her criticizing the government, underscores this threat.

The 2020 case of Dickson Yeo, a Singaporean sentenced in the U.S. for spying for Chinese intelligence, further highlights Beijing’s use of local operatives, though Yeo claimed no disloyalty to Singapore.

Why Singapore?

Singapore’s diplomatic leadership in ASEAN and military ties with Taiwan make it a strategic target.

China’s ambition to dominate ASEAN relies on influencing key players like Singapore, whose neutral stance could shift regional dynamics if manipulated.

Disinformation could erode public trust or promote candidates aligned with Beijing’s goals.

Israel

Israel, a key defense partner supplying Singapore with technologies like the Iron Dome, seeks to maintain a government supportive of bilateral ties.

As one of Singapore’s few ASEAN allies alongside Thailand, and with neighbors like Malaysia and Indonesia holding anti-Israel stances, Singapore’s pro-Israel policies are crucial.

A change in government could disrupt defense cooperation or weaken Israel’s Southeast Asian foothold, where Singapore is a diplomatic and technological hub.

Past disinformation campaigns

Israel’s disinformation efforts, particularly since the Gaza war, have aimed to shape global narratives:

  • U.S. Lawmakers (2024): Israel funded a $2 million campaign through Stoic, a Tel Aviv-based firm, using 600 fake social media accounts to target 128 U.S. Congresspeople with pro-Israel messaging. Active as of June 2024, it employed AI tools like ChatGPT and fake news sites to attack UNRWA and influence policy (The New York Times, June 2024).

  • Gaza War propaganda: AI-driven bot farms spread false narratives to dehumanize Palestinians and pressure policymakers, as reported by The Intercept in February 2024 (Gaza: Israel, Netanyahu, propaganda, lies, Palestinians).

  • Meta censorship: Israel secured the removal of 38.8 million pro-Palestinian posts on Meta platforms by April 2025, aligning with efforts to suppress criticism (Dropsite News).

  • Specific falsehoods: Misleading claims, such as audio evidence in the Gaza Baptist Hospital massacre, highlight tactical disinformation (Euronews, February 2024).

Potential impact on Singapore

Israel’s cyber capabilities, exemplified by tools like Pegasus and Graphite used in Singapore pose a threat.

While the 2024 Graphite spyware from Paragon Solutions was reportedly halted, Israel’s history with Pegasus—sold to various governments—suggests that comparable tools remain active.

Disinformation campaigns might target Singapore’s Malay-Muslim community (15% of the population) to counter anti-Israel sentiments, using bots on platforms like Meta.

Covert lobbying through defense or tech partnerships could subtly influence policy.

Why Singapore?

Singapore’s status as a rare ASEAN ally makes it a linchpin for Israel’s regional strategy.

A pro-Israel government ensures sustained defense cooperation and counters regional hostility.

Disinformation could protect these ties by shaping elite perceptions or neutralizing anti-Israel narratives.

Singapore's defense capabilities

Singapore has fortified its electoral process against disinformation:

The FICA law was in the news recently when four members of one of Singapore's richest families were designated as "politically significant persons" for their membership to a China political advisory body. MHA had emphasised that the four individuals had not engaged in any “egregious activity”. As such, their designation can be seen as a pre-emptive move to guard against any potential vulnerabilities to foreign interference.

Also last year, FICA was invoked to block 95 social media accounts linked to self-exiled Chinese billionaire Guo Wengui, the first time that the account restrictions directions under FICA were being deployed.

Foreign disinformation poses a significant threat to GE2025.

China aims to dominate ASEAN by leveraging Singapore’s diplomatic influence and cultural ties, while Israel seeks to preserve its strategic alliance.

Singapore’s FICA, cybersecurity, and public resilience provide a strong defense, but sustained vigilance is critical.

Enhanced cyber audits, monitoring of foreign networks, and public education will ensure Singapore’s vote remains untainted.

As GE2025 approaches, the nation’s commitment to sovereignty will determine its success in countering these threats.

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A comparative summary of PAP, WP, PSP and SDP proposed policies

If you have no time to read all manifestos, just read this summary.

|5 min read
A comparative summary of PAP, WP, PSP and SDP proposed policies

The manifestos of the People’s Action Party (PAP), Workers’ Party (WP), Progress Singapore Party (PSP), and Singapore Democratic Party (SDP) for the 2025 Singapore General Election reveal a spectrum of priorities, as summarized in the following table:

AspectPAPWPPSPSDP
VisionStability and continuity; incremental improvements.Pragmatic reform; balanced change.Bold transformation; radical reforms.Social justice and equity; transformative democratic change.
Cost of LivingEnhances Assurance Package, CDC vouchers, maintains GST at 9% with offsets.GST exemptions for essentials, National Minimum Wage ($1,600).Reduce GST to 7%, exempt essentials, defer HDB land costs.Abolish GST on essentials, tax top 1%, reinstate estate duty, minimum wage.
HousingOver 50,000 new HDB flats, Shorter Waiting Time flats, VERS rejuvenation.70-year BTO leases, universal buy-back schemes, affordability focus.Affordable Homes Scheme (AHS), Millennial Apartments Scheme.Non-Open Market (NOM) Scheme with $270,000 HDB price cap, sustainable VERS, more flats.
Jobs and WagesSupports PMETs, fair employment safeguards, Progressive Wage Credit.EP reforms, SkillsFuture enhancements, local talent priority.$2,250 minimum living wage, EP quotas, retrenchment benefits.Minimum wage, Talent Track Scheme for foreign PMETs, reduce foreign labor, scrap CPF Minimum Sum.
Social Safety NetReinforces ComCare, Silver Support, Workfare enhancements.Expands healthcare subsidies, simplifies assistance, retiree support.$1,800 minimum living income, caregiver allowances, MediSave expansion.National Health Investment Fund (NHIF), free maternal/pediatric care, 10-point Malay community plan, gender equality initiatives.
EducationCustomized education, SPED expansion, lifelong learning.Class size caps at 23, holistic education, later school start times.10-year through-train program, class size reduction, local student priority.Abolish PSLE, reduce class sizes, holistic curriculum, address socio-economic disparities.
GovernanceMaintains stability, anti-corruption, improves communication.Office of Ombudsman, standing committees, GRC abolition.Freedom of Information Act, asset declaration, GRC abolition.Reduce ministerial salaries, reform POFMA, constitutional reforms for civil liberties, divest GLCs, regional democratic partnerships.
EnvironmentNew parks, marine parks, transport infrastructure.Renewable energy targets (50% by 2040), forest conservation.Environmental Impact Assessments, hasten renewables.Strengthen Paris Agreement, EV incentives, oppose 10 million population, enforce haze act, reduce single-use packaging.
FeasibilityHighly feasible; leverages existing systems.Feasible; builds on existing frameworks.Ambitious but risky; requires significant changes.Highly ambitious; faces significant fiscal and political challenges.
Voter AppealAppeals to conservative voters, older generations, middle to upper-income brackets valuing stability and economic growth.Attracts middle-class families, younger voters concerned about housing and education, seeking a stronger check on PAP.Draws younger demographics, lower-income workers, reformists willing to risk significant change.Appeals to lower-income groups, youth, and reformists frustrated with inequality and governance restrictions, but may alienate moderates due to radicalism.

This table highlights the diversity in approach, with PAP focusing on continuity, WP on balanced reform, PSP on transformative change, and SDP on social justice and democratic overhaul.

Critical Insights

  1. Addressing Public Concerns:

    • PAP: Targeted subsidies (e.g., Assurance Package) provide immediate relief but may not address root causes like rising costs, appealing to those prioritizing stability.
    • WP: GST exemptions and a $1,600 minimum wage offer practical relief, balancing affordability with feasibility, suitable for middle-class voters.
    • PSP: Reducing GST to 7% and deferring HDB land costs are bold, voter-friendly moves, but fiscal risks may concern cautious voters.
    • SDP: Abolishing GST on essentials and taxing the top 1% directly tackle inequality, appealing to lower-income groups, but lack of cost estimates raises feasibility questions.
  2. Housing:

    • PAP: Over 50,000 new flats increase supply, with VERS addressing lease decay, maintaining market stability.
    • WP: 70-year leases and buy-back schemes focus on affordability, offering a middle-ground solution.
    • PSP: AHS excludes land costs for affordability, with Millennial Apartments addressing youth needs, but market disruption is a risk.
    • SDP: The $270,000 NOM Scheme cap is innovative but lacks specifics on flat types or fiscal impact. Building more flats is vague without a supply target, unlike PAP’s 50,000 or PSP’s 20,000/year.
  3. Governance and Democracy:

    • PAP: Prioritizes stability and anti-corruption, avoiding structural reforms.
    • WP: Proposes an Ombudsman and GRC abolition for accountability, balancing reform with pragmatism.
    • PSP: Freedom of Information Act and GRC abolition push transparency, appealing to reformists.
    • SDP: POFMA reform, constitutional changes, and GLC divestment are radical, aligning with its democratic ethos, but may face resistance in Singapore’s conservative political culture.
  4. Economic Growth:

    • PAP: Balances local and global needs, supporting PMETs and businesses.
    • WP: Enhances local talent via SkillsFuture, maintaining economic competitiveness.
    • PSP: A $2,250 minimum wage risks business costs but benefits workers.
    • SDP: Minimum wage and foreign labor reduction prioritize locals but lack specific figures, potentially disrupting Singapore’s globalized economy.
  5. Social Safety Net:

    • PAP: Strengthens ComCare and Silver Support, building on proven systems.
    • WP: Simplifies assistance, focusing on healthcare and retirees.
    • PSP: Introduces caregiver allowances and MediSave expansion, resembling a basic income model.
    • SDP: NHIF and free maternal/pediatric care are ambitious but lack costings, while the Malay community plan and gender equality initiatives address inclusivity without specific actions.

Overall Assessment

  • PAP: Appeals to voters valuing economic stability, strong governance, and proven leadership, attracting conservative voters, older generations, and middle to upper-income brackets. Its continuity is robust but may seem out-of-touch with reformists.

  • WP: Offers a credible, pragmatic alternative, appealing to middle-class families, younger voters concerned about housing and education, and those desiring a stronger check on PAP. Its balanced approach is feasible but may lack transformative vision.

  • PSP: Presents a bold platform for change, drawing support from younger demographics, lower-income workers, and reformists willing to risk significant change. Its ambition is appealing but faces feasibility challenges.

  • SDP: Champions social justice and democratic reform, appealing to lower-income groups, youth, and reformists frustrated with inequality and governance restrictions. Its radical proposals (e.g., abolish PSLE, scrap CPF Minimum Sum) resonate with those seeking systemic change but risk alienating moderates due to limited electoral track record and vague costings.

The election outcome on May 3, 2025, will hinge on voter priorities—stability versus change—and how each party builds trust amid economic and social challenges.

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GE2025 - Here are the key points from WP's manifesto

The 122-page document, launched at the WP headquarters, outlines 125 policy proposals across five key areas: affordability and cost of living, economic growth and opportunities, inclusion and equality, accountability and democracy, and security and geopolitics.

|14 min read
GE2025 - Here are the key points from WP's manifesto

The Workers' Party (WP) released its manifesto for Singapore's 2025 General Election last Thursday (Apr 17) titled “Working for Singapore.”

The 122-page document, launched at the WP headquarters, outlines 125 policy proposals across five key areas: affordability and cost of living, economic growth and opportunities, inclusion and equality, accountability and democracy, and security and geopolitics.

Below is a detailed, reorganized summary of the manifesto’s key points, structured for clarity and coherence.

1. Affordability and Cost of Living

The WP proposes a range of measures to address Singapore’s high cost of living, focusing on transparency, alternative revenue sources, financial safety nets, and affordability of essential services and goods.

  • Transparency in Cost Management: Establish a Standing Parliamentary Committee on Cost of Living to monitor and ensure transparency in addressing living expenses.

  • Alternative Revenue Sources: Reduce reliance on Goods and Services Tax (GST) by:

    • Recognizing revenue from land sales over the first 9 years immediately.

    • Increasing the Net Investment Returns Contribution (NIRC) from 50% to 60%.

    • Introducing taxes on alcohol, carbon, and tobacco.

    • Implementing a net wealth tax of 0.5-2% on the top 1% of wealth holders.

    • Setting a minimum corporate tax rate of 15%.

  • GST Exemptions: Exempt essential items, such as basic food, from GST to lower costs for households.

  • Redundancy Insurance Scheme: Introduce a scheme providing 40% of the last drawn salary for 6 months, capped at 40% of median income, funded by a 0.1% monthly premium shared between employers and employees.

  • Retrenchment Benefits: Mandate retrenchment benefits for private sector employers with 25 or more employees.

  • National Minimum Wage: Set a minimum wage of $1,600 for full-time workers, pro-rated for part-time workers.

  • Tiered Utility Pricing: Implement tiered pricing for electricity and water with a graduated Water Conservation Tax ranging from 30-60%.

  • Healthcare Affordability:

    • Lift the MediSave cap for individuals over 60 to increase access to savings for medical expenses.

    • Introduce the Silver Living Development Scheme for affordable assisted living facilities.

    • Include persons with disabilities (PwDs) in Community Health Assist Scheme (CHAS) subsidies.

    • Establish a National Cancer Care Appeals Board to handle complex cancer cases.

  • Housing Affordability:

    • Ensure the Housing Price Index (HPI) ratio is ≤3.0 for first-time Build-To-Order (BTO) buyers.

    • Offer 70-year BTO leases at lower prices with an option to extend to 99 years.

    • Implement a universal buy-back scheme for ageing HDB flats.

  • Support for Local Businesses:

    • Have the National Environment Agency (NEA) manage hawker centres to keep costs low.

    • Have the Housing Development Board (HDB) reacquire coffee shops to control rental prices.

    • Have JTC Corporation expand low-rent industrial spaces for small businesses.

    • Cap rental growth to the rate of inflation.

  • Education Subsidies:

    • Extend preschool fee assistance to all preschools in HDB estates.

    • Equalize Special Education (SPED) school fees to $13 per month.

  • Transport Affordability:

    • Reduce Certificate of Entitlement (COE) volatility by redistributing quotas, categorizing motorcycle COEs by value, requiring private hire cars to be in the Open category, and ensuring equitable Electronic Road Pricing (ERP) 2.0 with discounts.

    • Establish a National Transport Corporation (NTC) to operate public transport on a non-profit basis.

    • Provide free off-peak public transport for seniors and PwDs.

    • Increase subsidies for school buses for students with disabilities.

Policy AreaKey ProposalIntended Impact
Revenue AlternativesWealth tax, increased NIRC, new taxesReduce GST reliance, fund social programs
Financial Safety NetsRedundancy insurance, minimum wageProtect workers from economic shocks
HousingAffordable BTO leases, buy-back schemeMake homeownership accessible
TransportNon-profit NTC, free off-peak transportLower commuting costs for vulnerable groups

2. Economic Growth and Opportunities

The WP aims to foster economic growth by prioritizing local talent, supporting small businesses, and preparing for an ageing population through innovative industries and financial reforms.

  • Local Talent Development:

    • Tie Employment Pass (EP) renewals to skills transfer programs to benefit local workers.

    • Introduce fixed-term passes for industries with fewer local shortages.

    • Track and report Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) for foreign worker employment.

    • Expand intakes at Institutes of Technical Education (ITE), polytechnics, and universities for Shortage Occupation List (SOL) roles.

    • Lower the SkillsFuture mid-career qualifying age to 35.

    • Offer interest-free SkillsFuture education loans for Continuing Education and Training (CET).

    • Allow SkillsFuture Credit to be used for AI subscriptions.

    • Align curriculum with labor market needs through feedback loops.

    • Subsidize tradespersons licensing courses for those under 40 and enforce licensing.

    • Track skills-related underemployment to address workforce mismatches.

  • Support for SMEs:

    • Train managers in leadership skills to improve business efficiency.

    • Benchmark salaries by sector to ensure competitiveness.

    • Streamline grants for green transitions, such as the Energy Efficient Grant.

    • Establish an Export-Import Bank (Exim Bank) to support exports, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), digitalization, and sustainability.

  • Retirement Age Reform: Abolish the statutory retirement age, complementing the Workplace Fairness Act 2025, without affecting the CPF Payout Age.

  • Silver Industries: Develop telemedicine, healthtech, mobility tech, elderly nutrition, and assisted living solutions to cater to nearly 1 million elderly by 2030.

  • CPF Enhancements:

    • Offer an option to co-invest with the Government of Singapore Investment Corporation (GIC) for higher returns.

    • Provide special dividends from GIC returns.

    • Review the CPF Ordinary Account (OA) interest rate formula.

    • De-link the HDB loan rate from the CPF OA rate, pegging it to 0.1% above the 3-month fixed deposit rate, with a floor of 2.6%.

Policy AreaKey ProposalIntended Impact
Local TalentSkills transfer, education expansionIncrease employability of Singaporeans
SMEsLeadership training, green grantsBoost small business competitiveness
Silver IndustriesTelemedicine, healthtech developmentAddress needs of ageing population
CPFCo-investment with GIC, revised interest ratesEnhance retirement savings

3. Inclusion and Equality

The WP seeks to promote social equity by addressing poverty, supporting vulnerable groups, and ensuring fair access to education, healthcare, and employment opportunities.

  • Social Outcome Tracking: Publish a developmental dashboard covering GDP, inequality, participation, health, and climate goals; adopt the ILO Social Protection Framework; issue annual reports.

  • Poverty Line: Set an official poverty line through a committee with government, civil society, and academia; peg assistance thresholds to this line.

  • Support for Parents and Caregivers:

    • Extend childcare leave per child up to age 12.

    • Establish Family Care Leave of up to 6 days per year, with the first 3 days employer-paid.

    • Provide additional leave for multiple care recipients.

    • Compensate caregivers with tiered payments and CPF contributions.

    • Expand the Home Caregiving Grant to $600 per month for Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADLs).

    • Create a single support point for parents of disabled children.

    • Expand the Early Intervention Programme for Infants and Children (EIPIC).

    • Expand respite care with subsidies for lower-income families.

    • Offer tax relief for employers with re-entry programs.

  • Gender Health Gap: Include peri/menopausal check-ups and physiotherapy subsidies in Healthier SG, and provide support for mothers.

  • Dental Care: Expand subsidies and allow MediSave use for dental care from age 60 by mid-2026.

  • Polyclinic Access: Increase walk-in slots at polyclinics for seniors and PwDs.

  • Education Reforms:

    • Reduce class sizes to 23 (from 29-33, compared to OECD’s 21-24).

    • Implement later school start times: primary at 8:00 am, secondary at 8:30 am, post-secondary at 9:00 am.

    • Offer an optional 10-year through-train programme from Primary 1 to Secondary 4, eliminating the Primary School Leaving Examination (PSLE).

    • Introduce a Teach for Singapore scheme for dual-trained teachers.

    • Centralize tuition for low-income students on school premises with Edusave incentives.

  • SkillsFuture for PwDs: Enhance SkillsFuture programs to better support persons with disabilities.

  • Housing for Singles: Lower the minimum age for buying BTO flats for singles to 28.

  • Ethnic Integration Policy: Abolish block quotas while retaining neighborhood quotas.

  • Foreign Spouses: Implement a points-based residency system with transparent rejection reasons.

  • Workplace Fairness:

    • Require employers with 10 or more employees to report gender pay gaps.

    • Ban non-compete clauses for mid- and low-level employees.

    • Enhance the Workplace Fairness Act to better protect PwDs.

    • Revert the Working Mother’s Child Relief (WMCR) to a percentage-based system with a $1,000 tax credit for mothers earning less than $25,000.

  • National Holidays: Reinstate Thaipusam as a national holiday, bringing the total to 12 holidays.

Policy AreaKey ProposalIntended Impact
Poverty ReductionOfficial poverty line, social outcome trackingTarget aid to those in need
Caregiver SupportExtended leave, financial aidEase burden on families
Education AccessSmaller classes, no PSLE optionImprove learning outcomes
Workplace EquityGender pay gap reporting, no non-compete clausesPromote fair employment practices

4. Accountability and Democracy

The WP proposes reforms to strengthen democratic institutions, enhance transparency, and ensure fair elections and governance.

  • Accountability Mechanisms:

    • Establish an Office of Ombudsman to investigate complaints and publish annual reports.

    • Set up Select Committees for each ministry to oversee operations.

    • Form a non-partisan Parliamentary Budget Office to evaluate policy proposals.

    • Reform the Presidential Council for Minority Rights (PCMR) to be non-political with fixed terms.

    • Enhance the Ministerial Code with independent assessments by the Auditor-General and judges.

    • Regulate lobbying with a public register.

  • Voice and Agency:

    • Lower the voting age to 18 to increase youth participation.

    • Safeguard the independence of institutions like the National Anti-Corruption Commission (NACC), Elections Department (ELD), and Electoral Boundaries Review Committee (EBRC) under multi-partisan oversight.

    • Prohibit close relatives or political appointees from holding key positions in these institutions.

  • Anti-Corruption and Elections:

    • Reconstitute the Corrupt Practices Investigation Bureau (CPIB) as the NACC, led by an independent Commissioner, Deputy Commissioners, and CEO, overseen by a multi-partisan Parliamentary Committee.

    • Ensure ELD and EBRC operate independently from the Prime Minister’s Office (PMO).

  • Electoral Reforms:

    • Abolish Group Representation Constituencies (GRCs), Non-Constituency Member of Parliament (NCMP), and Nominated Member of Parliament (NMP) schemes.

    • Revert all GRCs to Single Member Constituencies (SMCs).

    • Require parties to field multiracial slates.

    • Amend Article 49 to hold by-elections within 3 months for vacant SMCs.

  • Presidency Reforms:

    • Revert to a ceremonial President appointed by Parliament.

    • Establish a separate Senate for discretionary powers.

    • Allow Parliament to overturn Senate veto with a three-quarters majority.

  • Local Governance: Abolish the Office of the Mayor and devolve its roles to other structures.

  • Advertising Transparency:

    • Require public sector and political advertising to declare sponsored content, disclose spending, measure effectiveness, and apply ROI tests.

    • Mandate political parties and candidates to disclose payments to digital content creators.

  • Labor Rights:

    • Allow independent trade unions.

    • Review the tripartite system.

    • Permit workers to form non-NTUC associations.

  • Information Access:

    • Institute a Freedom of Information Act for citizen requests.

    • Declassify National Archives after 25 years, with “Secret” material subject to requests.

    • Release Cabinet papers after 40 years.

    • Publish government population projections for 2040 and 2050.

Policy AreaKey ProposalIntended Impact
GovernanceOmbudsman, independent oversightIncrease accountability
Electoral SystemAbolish GRCs, revert to SMCsEnsure fairer elections
TransparencyFreedom of Information Act, lobbying registerEnhance public trust
Labor RightsIndependent unions, non-NTUC associationsEmpower workers

5. Security and Geopolitics

The WP proposes reforms to strengthen judicial independence, enhance public safety, promote environmental sustainability, and bolster national defense and diplomacy.

  • Judicial Reforms:

    • Enhance judicial oversight of ministerial decisions under acts like the Foreign Interference (Countermeasures) Act (FICA) and Protection from Online Falsehoods and Manipulation Act (POFMA), with court appeals and in-camera proceedings for national security.

    • Protect judicial independence by removing fixed-term Judicial Commissioners.

    • Amend the Administration of Justice Act to remove government immunity.

    • Restore the “real risk” threshold for scandalizing the judiciary.

    • Separate the Attorney-General’s roles into Public Prosecutor and Government Legal Advisor.

    • Raise judges’ retirement age from 65 to 70.

    • Have capital cases decided by a tribunal of two judges with unanimous decision.

    • Remove the mandatory death penalty.

  • Policing and Scams:

    • Enhance scam protections with an insurance scheme, a $500 consumer liability cap, and a Scam Victim Restitution Fund.

    • Have the Competition and Consumer Commission of Singapore (CCCS) enforce standards.

    • Safeguard arrested persons’ rights with legal information, early lawyer access, and video-recorded interviews.

    • Establish an Independent Police Complaints Commission.

  • Community Organizations:

    • Depoliticize taxpayer-funded organizations.

    • Abolish the Grassroots Advisor (GRA) position in the People’s Association (PA), led by neutral civil servants.

    • Foster ground-up National Sports Associations (NSAs).

    • Create an independent arts body for licensing and grants.

  • Environmental Sustainability:

    • Balance urban development with stronger environmental laws.

    • Monitor land use and designate secondary forests as reserves.

    • Conduct public Environmental Impact Assessments (EIAs).

    • Increase renewables to 30% by 2030, 40% by 2035, and 50% by 2040.

    • Track natural capital in national income.

    • Preserve forests and mangroves.

    • Address greenwashing.

    • Make public EIAs and Environmental Management and Monitoring Plans (EMMPs).

  • Anti-Discrimination:

    • Legislate against discrimination.

    • Survey workplace harassment.

    • Criminalize uncovered behaviors.

  • National Defense:

    • Strengthen countermeasures against grey zone tactics.

    • Increase surveillance.

    • Enhance defense agreements.

    • Promote media literacy in schools and National Service (NS).

    • Protect subsea interests.

    • Enhance repair capabilities.

    • Implement psychological fitness assessments like the US Army General Assessment Tool (GAT).

    • Provide resilience training.

    • Defend digital space with Digital and Intelligence Service (DIS) integration.

    • Establish a vulnerability equities process.

  • Security Budgets:

    • Raise National Servicemen Full-time (NSFs)’ salaries to the median $1,600 per month, renamed “NS salary” with CPF contributions.

    • Ensure equal opportunities in the Singapore Armed Forces (SAF).

    • Provide fair representation.

    • Increase transparency in the Ministry of Defence (MINDEF) budget, currently $23.44 billion for FY2025, with $22.0 billion for military expenditure, broken down into equipment, maintenance, allowances, and salaries.

    • Grant Public Accounts Committee access.

  • Internal Resilience:

    • Maintain domestic manufacturing for essentials.

    • Grant legislative powers for emergencies.

    • Increase local farm uptake to 30% of nutritional needs by 2030.

    • Establish long-term contracts with institutional buyers.

    • Repeal the Internal Security Act (ISA).

    • Replace ISA with an anti-terrorism law with limited detention and court trials.

  • Diplomacy and Trade:

    • Strengthen ASEAN with majority voting, enforcement, collaboration, and people-to-people exchanges.

    • Support Myanmar stability via the ASEAN Five-Point Consensus.

    • Enforce arms export bans.

    • Support maritime peace in East Asia.

    • Encourage adherence to the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS).

    • Finalize the South China Sea (SCS) Code of Conduct.

    • Recognize the State of Palestine and support a two-state solution.

    • Establish a Singapore Agency for International Development for Official Development Assistance (ODA), focusing on Southeast Asia.

Policy AreaKey ProposalIntended Impact
Judicial IndependenceSeparate AG roles, remove mandatory death penaltyStrengthen rule of law
Public SafetyScam protections, police complaints commissionEnhance consumer and citizen protections
EnvironmentIncrease renewables, preserve forestsPromote sustainability
DiplomacyStrengthen ASEAN, recognize PalestineFoster regional and global stability

Conclusion

The WP’s manifesto builds on its 2020 manifesto, retaining unimplemented proposals and introducing new ones based on resident feedback.

The party emphasizes that its policies are developed independently of the ruling People’s Action Party (PAP), focusing on gaps in existing systems.

While the WP’s proposals are ambitious, their feasibility depends on parliamentary support and economic conditions.

For instance, the wealth tax and GST exemptions may face resistance due to fiscal implications, while electoral reforms like abolishing GRCs could spark debate over representation.

The WP’s focus on affordability and equality resonates with public concerns, but implementation would require careful prioritization and collaboration.